Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Boston Red Sox @ Miami Marlins
2026-08-24 · loanDepot park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Boston Red Sox at Miami Marlins at loanDepot park on 2026-08-24. Predicted final score: Boston Red Sox 5.61, Miami Marlins 4.21. Model win probability: Miami Marlins 37%, Boston Red Sox 63%. Projected total runs: 9.82.
Boston Red Sox
5.6
Predicted runs
63% to win
Miami Marlins
4.2
Predicted runs
37% to win
Projected total: 9.8 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.