Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Boston Red Sox @ Miami Marlins
2026-08-25 · loanDepot park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Boston Red Sox at Miami Marlins at loanDepot park on 2026-08-25. Predicted final score: Boston Red Sox 5.62, Miami Marlins 3.89. Model win probability: Miami Marlins 34%, Boston Red Sox 66%. Projected total runs: 9.5.
Boston Red Sox
5.6
Predicted runs
66% to win
Miami Marlins
3.9
Predicted runs
34% to win
Projected total: 9.5 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.