Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles
2026-04-24 · Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on 2026-04-24. Predicted final score: Boston Red Sox 4.57, Baltimore Orioles 6.98. Model win probability: Baltimore Orioles 71%, Boston Red Sox 29%. Projected total runs: 11.55.
Boston Red Sox
4.6
Predicted runs
29% to win
Baltimore Orioles
7.0
Predicted runs
71% to win
Projected total: 11.6 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.