Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles
2026-04-25 · 12:05 PM ET · Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on 2026-04-25. Predicted final score: Boston Red Sox 4.35, Baltimore Orioles 7.16. Model win probability: Baltimore Orioles 74%, Boston Red Sox 26%. Projected total runs: 11.51.
Boston Red Sox
4.3
Predicted runs
26% to win
Baltimore Orioles
7.2
Predicted runs
74% to win
Projected total: 11.5 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.