Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles
2026-04-26 · 01:35 PM ET · Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on 2026-04-26. Predicted final score: Boston Red Sox 4.99, Baltimore Orioles 5.94. Model win probability: Baltimore Orioles 59%, Boston Red Sox 41%. Projected total runs: 10.92.
Boston Red Sox
5.0
Predicted runs
41% to win
Baltimore Orioles
5.9
Predicted runs
59% to win
Projected total: 10.9 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.