Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Boston Red Sox @ Pittsburgh Pirates
2026-08-15 · PNC Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Boston Red Sox at Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on 2026-08-15. Predicted final score: Boston Red Sox 4.67, Pittsburgh Pirates 3.9. Model win probability: Pittsburgh Pirates 43%, Boston Red Sox 57%. Projected total runs: 8.58.
Boston Red Sox
4.7
Predicted runs
57% to win
Pittsburgh Pirates
3.9
Predicted runs
43% to win
Projected total: 8.6 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.