Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Boston Red Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays
2026-06-09 · Tropicana Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field on 2026-06-09. Predicted final score: Boston Red Sox 5.15, Tampa Bay Rays 3.17. Model win probability: Tampa Bay Rays 31%, Boston Red Sox 69%. Projected total runs: 8.32.
Boston Red Sox
5.2
Predicted runs
69% to win
Tampa Bay Rays
3.2
Predicted runs
31% to win
Projected total: 8.3 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.
