Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Boston Red Sox @ Kansas City Royals
2026-05-18 · Kauffman Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Boston Red Sox at Kansas City Royals at Kauffman Stadium on 2026-05-18. Predicted final score: Boston Red Sox 3.95, Kansas City Royals 5.86. Model win probability: Kansas City Royals 67%, Boston Red Sox 33%. Projected total runs: 9.81.
Boston Red Sox
4.0
Predicted runs
33% to win
Kansas City Royals
5.9
Predicted runs
67% to win
Projected total: 9.8 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.