Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Boston Red Sox @ Kansas City Royals
2026-05-19 · Kauffman Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Boston Red Sox at Kansas City Royals at Kauffman Stadium on 2026-05-19. Predicted final score: Boston Red Sox 3.48, Kansas City Royals 3.54. Model win probability: Kansas City Royals 51%, Boston Red Sox 49%. Projected total runs: 7.02.
Boston Red Sox
3.5
Predicted runs
49% to win
Kansas City Royals
3.5
Predicted runs
51% to win
Projected total: 7.0 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.