Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Boston Red Sox @ Detroit Tigers
2026-05-04 · 06:10 PM ET · Comerica Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Boston Red Sox at Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park on 2026-05-04. Predicted final score: Boston Red Sox 5.51, Detroit Tigers 6.58. Model win probability: Detroit Tigers 59%, Boston Red Sox 41%. Projected total runs: 12.09.
Boston Red Sox
5.5
Predicted runs
41% to win
Detroit Tigers
6.6
Predicted runs
59% to win
Projected total: 12.1 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.