Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Boston Red Sox @ Detroit Tigers
2026-05-05 · 06:40 PM ET · Comerica Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Boston Red Sox at Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park on 2026-05-05. Predicted final score: Boston Red Sox 4.37, Detroit Tigers 6.25. Model win probability: Detroit Tigers 66%, Boston Red Sox 34%. Projected total runs: 10.62.
Boston Red Sox
4.4
Predicted runs
34% to win
Detroit Tigers
6.3
Predicted runs
66% to win
Projected total: 10.6 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.