Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers
2026-06-30 · American Family Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers at American Family Field on 2026-06-30. Predicted final score: Cincinnati Reds 4.04, Milwaukee Brewers 5.07. Model win probability: Milwaukee Brewers 61%, Cincinnati Reds 39%. Projected total runs: 9.11.
Cincinnati Reds
4.0
Predicted runs
39% to win
Milwaukee Brewers
5.1
Predicted runs
61% to win
Projected total: 9.1 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.