Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers
2026-07-01 · American Family Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers at American Family Field on 2026-07-01. Predicted final score: Cincinnati Reds 3.99, Milwaukee Brewers 5.65. Model win probability: Milwaukee Brewers 66%, Cincinnati Reds 34%. Projected total runs: 9.64.
Cincinnati Reds
4.0
Predicted runs
34% to win
Milwaukee Brewers
5.7
Predicted runs
66% to win
Projected total: 9.6 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.