Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Cincinnati Reds @ St. Louis Cardinals
2026-06-07 · Busch Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium on 2026-06-07. Predicted final score: Cincinnati Reds 5.13, St. Louis Cardinals 5.77. Model win probability: St. Louis Cardinals 57%, Cincinnati Reds 43%. Projected total runs: 10.91.
Cincinnati Reds
5.1
Predicted runs
43% to win
St. Louis Cardinals
5.8
Predicted runs
57% to win
Projected total: 10.9 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.