Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Cincinnati Reds @ St. Louis Cardinals
2026-07-25 · Busch Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium on 2026-07-25. Predicted final score: Cincinnati Reds 5.25, St. Louis Cardinals 4.09. Model win probability: St. Louis Cardinals 38%, Cincinnati Reds 62%. Projected total runs: 9.33.
Cincinnati Reds
5.3
Predicted runs
62% to win
St. Louis Cardinals
4.1
Predicted runs
38% to win
Projected total: 9.3 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.