Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago Cubs
2026-05-05 · 07:40 PM ET · Wrigley Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field on 2026-05-05. Predicted final score: Cincinnati Reds 4.94, Chicago Cubs 4.02. Model win probability: Chicago Cubs 42%, Cincinnati Reds 58%. Projected total runs: 8.96.
Cincinnati Reds
4.9
Predicted runs
58% to win
Chicago Cubs
4.0
Predicted runs
42% to win
Projected total: 9.0 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.