Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Cincinnati Reds @ Seattle Mariners
2026-07-20 · T-Mobile Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Cincinnati Reds at Seattle Mariners at T-Mobile Park on 2026-07-20. Predicted final score: Cincinnati Reds 3.73, Seattle Mariners 3.75. Model win probability: Seattle Mariners 51%, Cincinnati Reds 49%. Projected total runs: 7.48.
Cincinnati Reds
3.7
Predicted runs
49% to win
Seattle Mariners
3.8
Predicted runs
51% to win
Projected total: 7.5 runs
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