Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Cincinnati Reds @ Seattle Mariners
2026-07-21 · T-Mobile Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Cincinnati Reds at Seattle Mariners at T-Mobile Park on 2026-07-21. Predicted final score: Cincinnati Reds 3.74, Seattle Mariners 3.63. Model win probability: Seattle Mariners 49%, Cincinnati Reds 51%. Projected total runs: 7.37.
Cincinnati Reds
3.7
Predicted runs
51% to win
Seattle Mariners
3.6
Predicted runs
49% to win
Projected total: 7.4 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.