Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Cincinnati Reds @ Seattle Mariners
2026-07-22 · T-Mobile Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Cincinnati Reds at Seattle Mariners at T-Mobile Park on 2026-07-22. Predicted final score: Cincinnati Reds 3.73, Seattle Mariners 4.65. Model win probability: Seattle Mariners 60%, Cincinnati Reds 40%. Projected total runs: 8.37.
Cincinnati Reds
3.7
Predicted runs
40% to win
Seattle Mariners
4.7
Predicted runs
60% to win
Projected total: 8.4 runs
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