Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Cincinnati Reds @ New York Mets
2026-05-25 · Citi Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Cincinnati Reds at New York Mets at Citi Field on 2026-05-25. Predicted final score: Cincinnati Reds 4.8, New York Mets 3.19. Model win probability: New York Mets 34%, Cincinnati Reds 66%. Projected total runs: 7.98.
Cincinnati Reds
4.8
Predicted runs
66% to win
New York Mets
3.2
Predicted runs
34% to win
Projected total: 8.0 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.