Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Cincinnati Reds @ New York Mets
2026-05-26 · Citi Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Cincinnati Reds at New York Mets at Citi Field on 2026-05-26. Predicted final score: Cincinnati Reds 5.45, New York Mets 3.01. Model win probability: New York Mets 27%, Cincinnati Reds 73%. Projected total runs: 8.46.
Cincinnati Reds
5.5
Predicted runs
73% to win
New York Mets
3.0
Predicted runs
27% to win
Projected total: 8.5 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.