Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Cincinnati Reds @ San Diego Padres
2026-06-09 · Petco Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Cincinnati Reds at San Diego Padres at Petco Park on 2026-06-09. Predicted final score: Cincinnati Reds 4.71, San Diego Padres 2.51. Model win probability: San Diego Padres 27%, Cincinnati Reds 73%. Projected total runs: 7.22.
Cincinnati Reds
4.7
Predicted runs
73% to win
San Diego Padres
2.5
Predicted runs
27% to win
Projected total: 7.2 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.