Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Cincinnati Reds @ Philadelphia Phillies
2026-05-19 · Citizens Bank Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Cincinnati Reds at Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on 2026-05-19. Predicted final score: Cincinnati Reds 4.22, Philadelphia Phillies 2.85. Model win probability: Philadelphia Phillies 34%, Cincinnati Reds 66%. Projected total runs: 7.07.
Cincinnati Reds
4.2
Predicted runs
66% to win
Philadelphia Phillies
2.9
Predicted runs
34% to win
Projected total: 7.1 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.