Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Cincinnati Reds @ Philadelphia Phillies
2026-05-20 · 01:05 PM ET · Citizens Bank Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Cincinnati Reds at Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on 2026-05-20. Predicted final score: Cincinnati Reds 6.31, Philadelphia Phillies 3.6. Model win probability: Philadelphia Phillies 27%, Cincinnati Reds 73%. Projected total runs: 9.91.
Cincinnati Reds
6.3
Predicted runs
73% to win
Philadelphia Phillies
3.6
Predicted runs
27% to win
Projected total: 9.9 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.