Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Cincinnati Reds @ Pittsburgh Pirates
2026-06-26 · PNC Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on 2026-06-26. Predicted final score: Cincinnati Reds 3.55, Pittsburgh Pirates 4.87. Model win probability: Pittsburgh Pirates 64%, Cincinnati Reds 36%. Projected total runs: 8.42.
Cincinnati Reds
3.5
Predicted runs
36% to win
Pittsburgh Pirates
4.9
Predicted runs
64% to win
Projected total: 8.4 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.