Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Cincinnati Reds @ Tampa Bay Rays
2026-04-20 · 06:40 PM ET · Tropicana Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Cincinnati Reds at Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field on 2026-04-20. Predicted final score: Cincinnati Reds 6.79, Tampa Bay Rays 4.99. Model win probability: Tampa Bay Rays 38%, Cincinnati Reds 62%. Projected total runs: 11.79.
Cincinnati Reds
6.8
Predicted runs
62% to win
Tampa Bay Rays
5.0
Predicted runs
38% to win
Projected total: 11.8 runs
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