Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Cincinnati Reds @ Tampa Bay Rays
2026-04-22 · 01:10 PM ET · Tropicana Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Cincinnati Reds at Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field on 2026-04-22. Predicted final score: Cincinnati Reds 7.29, Tampa Bay Rays 4.67. Model win probability: Tampa Bay Rays 32%, Cincinnati Reds 68%. Projected total runs: 11.96.
Cincinnati Reds
7.3
Predicted runs
68% to win
Tampa Bay Rays
4.7
Predicted runs
32% to win
Projected total: 12.0 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.