Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Cincinnati Reds @ Colorado Rockies
2026-07-17 · Coors Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Cincinnati Reds at Colorado Rockies at Coors Field on 2026-07-17. Predicted final score: Cincinnati Reds 4.75, Colorado Rockies 6.16. Model win probability: Colorado Rockies 63%, Cincinnati Reds 37%. Projected total runs: 10.91.
Cincinnati Reds
4.8
Predicted runs
37% to win
Colorado Rockies
6.2
Predicted runs
63% to win
Projected total: 10.9 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.