Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago White Sox
2026-08-11 · Rate Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Cincinnati Reds at Chicago White Sox at Rate Field on 2026-08-11. Predicted final score: Cincinnati Reds 4.58, Chicago White Sox 4.69. Model win probability: Chicago White Sox 51%, Cincinnati Reds 49%. Projected total runs: 9.26.
Cincinnati Reds
4.6
Predicted runs
49% to win
Chicago White Sox
4.7
Predicted runs
51% to win
Projected total: 9.3 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.