Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Cincinnati Reds @ New York Yankees
2026-06-21 · 01:35 PM ET · Yankee Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Cincinnati Reds at New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium on 2026-06-21. Predicted final score: Cincinnati Reds 5.92, New York Yankees 5.43. Model win probability: New York Yankees 46%, Cincinnati Reds 54%. Projected total runs: 11.36.
Cincinnati Reds
5.9
Predicted runs
54% to win
New York Yankees
5.4
Predicted runs
46% to win
Projected total: 11.4 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.