Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks
2026-05-21 · Chase Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field on 2026-05-21. Predicted final score: Colorado Rockies 3.55, Arizona Diamondbacks 5.12. Model win probability: Arizona Diamondbacks 66%, Colorado Rockies 34%. Projected total runs: 8.67.
Colorado Rockies
3.5
Predicted runs
34% to win
Arizona Diamondbacks
5.1
Predicted runs
66% to win
Projected total: 8.7 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.