Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks
2026-05-22 · Chase Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field on 2026-05-22. Predicted final score: Colorado Rockies 4.16, Arizona Diamondbacks 5.28. Model win probability: Arizona Diamondbacks 62%, Colorado Rockies 38%. Projected total runs: 9.43.
Colorado Rockies
4.2
Predicted runs
38% to win
Arizona Diamondbacks
5.3
Predicted runs
62% to win
Projected total: 9.4 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.