Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks
2026-08-10 · Chase Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field on 2026-08-10. Predicted final score: Colorado Rockies 5.66, Arizona Diamondbacks 4.5. Model win probability: Arizona Diamondbacks 39%, Colorado Rockies 61%. Projected total runs: 10.16.
Colorado Rockies
5.7
Predicted runs
61% to win
Arizona Diamondbacks
4.5
Predicted runs
39% to win
Projected total: 10.2 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.