Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks
2026-08-11 · Chase Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field on 2026-08-11. Predicted final score: Colorado Rockies 5.5, Arizona Diamondbacks 4.5. Model win probability: Arizona Diamondbacks 40%, Colorado Rockies 60%. Projected total runs: 10.
Colorado Rockies
5.5
Predicted runs
60% to win
Arizona Diamondbacks
4.5
Predicted runs
40% to win
Projected total: 10.0 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.