Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Colorado Rockies @ San Diego Padres
2026-07-28 · Petco Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres at Petco Park on 2026-07-28. Predicted final score: Colorado Rockies 4.87, San Diego Padres 4.18. Model win probability: San Diego Padres 43%, Colorado Rockies 57%. Projected total runs: 9.05.
Colorado Rockies
4.9
Predicted runs
57% to win
San Diego Padres
4.2
Predicted runs
43% to win
Projected total: 9.1 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.