Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Colorado Rockies @ Philadelphia Phillies
2026-05-09 · 06:05 PM ET · Citizens Bank Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Colorado Rockies at Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on 2026-05-09. Predicted final score: Colorado Rockies 7.09, Philadelphia Phillies 4.13. Model win probability: Philadelphia Phillies 29%, Colorado Rockies 71%. Projected total runs: 11.22.
Colorado Rockies
7.1
Predicted runs
71% to win
Philadelphia Phillies
4.1
Predicted runs
29% to win
Projected total: 11.2 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.