Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Colorado Rockies @ Philadelphia Phillies
2026-05-10 · Citizens Bank Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Colorado Rockies at Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on 2026-05-10. Predicted final score: Colorado Rockies 5.42, Philadelphia Phillies 4.16. Model win probability: Philadelphia Phillies 40%, Colorado Rockies 60%. Projected total runs: 9.57.
Colorado Rockies
5.4
Predicted runs
60% to win
Philadelphia Phillies
4.2
Predicted runs
40% to win
Projected total: 9.6 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.