Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Colorado Rockies @ Pittsburgh Pirates
2026-05-12 · PNC Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Colorado Rockies at Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on 2026-05-12. Predicted final score: Colorado Rockies 3.4, Pittsburgh Pirates 4.53. Model win probability: Pittsburgh Pirates 63%, Colorado Rockies 37%. Projected total runs: 7.93.
Colorado Rockies
3.4
Predicted runs
37% to win
Pittsburgh Pirates
4.5
Predicted runs
63% to win
Projected total: 7.9 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.
