Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Colorado Rockies @ Pittsburgh Pirates
2026-05-13 · PNC Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Colorado Rockies at Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on 2026-05-13. Predicted final score: Colorado Rockies 3.57, Pittsburgh Pirates 4.15. Model win probability: Pittsburgh Pirates 56%, Colorado Rockies 44%. Projected total runs: 7.72.
Colorado Rockies
3.6
Predicted runs
44% to win
Pittsburgh Pirates
4.2
Predicted runs
56% to win
Projected total: 7.7 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.
