Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Colorado Rockies @ Pittsburgh Pirates
2026-05-14 · 12:35 PM ET · PNC Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Colorado Rockies at Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on 2026-05-14. Predicted final score: Colorado Rockies 2.89, Pittsburgh Pirates 3.71. Model win probability: Pittsburgh Pirates 60%, Colorado Rockies 40%. Projected total runs: 6.59.
Colorado Rockies
2.9
Predicted runs
40% to win
Pittsburgh Pirates
3.7
Predicted runs
60% to win
Projected total: 6.6 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.