Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Colorado Rockies @ Cincinnati Reds
2026-04-28 · Great American Ball Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Colorado Rockies at Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park on 2026-04-28. Predicted final score: Colorado Rockies 5.36, Cincinnati Reds 5.6. Model win probability: Cincinnati Reds 53%, Colorado Rockies 47%. Projected total runs: 10.96.
Colorado Rockies
5.4
Predicted runs
47% to win
Cincinnati Reds
5.6
Predicted runs
53% to win
Projected total: 11.0 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.
