Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Colorado Rockies @ Cincinnati Reds
2026-04-29 · 06:40 PM ET · Great American Ball Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Colorado Rockies at Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park on 2026-04-29. Predicted final score: Colorado Rockies 4.53, Cincinnati Reds 5.26. Model win probability: Cincinnati Reds 59%, Colorado Rockies 41%. Projected total runs: 9.79.
Colorado Rockies
4.5
Predicted runs
41% to win
Cincinnati Reds
5.3
Predicted runs
59% to win
Projected total: 9.8 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.