Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Colorado Rockies @ Cincinnati Reds
2026-04-30 · Great American Ball Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Colorado Rockies at Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park on 2026-04-30. Predicted final score: Colorado Rockies 4.67, Cincinnati Reds 5.44. Model win probability: Cincinnati Reds 59%, Colorado Rockies 41%. Projected total runs: 10.11.
Colorado Rockies
4.7
Predicted runs
41% to win
Cincinnati Reds
5.4
Predicted runs
59% to win
Projected total: 10.1 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.