Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Kansas City Royals @ Athletics
2026-04-28 · 09:40 PM ET · Sutter Health Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Kansas City Royals at Athletics at Sutter Health Park on 2026-04-28. Predicted final score: Kansas City Royals 3.71, Athletics 4.38. Model win probability: Athletics 57%, Kansas City Royals 43%. Projected total runs: 8.09.
Kansas City Royals
3.7
Predicted runs
43% to win
Athletics
4.4
Predicted runs
57% to win
Projected total: 8.1 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.