Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Kansas City Royals @ St. Louis Cardinals
2026-05-15 · Busch Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Kansas City Royals at St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium on 2026-05-15. Predicted final score: Kansas City Royals 6.28, St. Louis Cardinals 3.98. Model win probability: St. Louis Cardinals 32%, Kansas City Royals 68%. Projected total runs: 10.26.
Kansas City Royals
6.3
Predicted runs
68% to win
St. Louis Cardinals
4.0
Predicted runs
32% to win
Projected total: 10.3 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.