Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Kansas City Royals @ St. Louis Cardinals
2026-05-16 · 02:15 PM ET · Busch Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Kansas City Royals at St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium on 2026-05-16. Predicted final score: Kansas City Royals 5.59, St. Louis Cardinals 4.42. Model win probability: St. Louis Cardinals 39%, Kansas City Royals 61%. Projected total runs: 10.02.
Kansas City Royals
5.6
Predicted runs
61% to win
St. Louis Cardinals
4.4
Predicted runs
39% to win
Projected total: 10.0 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.