Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Kansas City Royals @ St. Louis Cardinals
2026-05-17 · Busch Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Kansas City Royals at St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium on 2026-05-17. Predicted final score: Kansas City Royals 5.51, St. Louis Cardinals 4.94. Model win probability: St. Louis Cardinals 45%, Kansas City Royals 55%. Projected total runs: 10.45.
Kansas City Royals
5.5
Predicted runs
55% to win
St. Louis Cardinals
4.9
Predicted runs
45% to win
Projected total: 10.4 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.