Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
Kansas City Royals @ Cleveland Guardians
2026-08-28 · Progressive Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field on 2026-08-28. Predicted final score: Kansas City Royals 4.98, Cleveland Guardians 4.67. Model win probability: Cleveland Guardians 47%, Kansas City Royals 53%. Projected total runs: 9.65.
Kansas City Royals
5.0
Predicted runs
53% to win
Cleveland Guardians
4.7
Predicted runs
47% to win
Projected total: 9.7 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.