Mongoose Bets logo - Advanced MLB Analytics and Betting Intelligence platform
Mongoose Bets

Odds updated 8:38 PM ET

Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics

Kansas City Royals @ Seattle Mariners

2026-05-01 · T-Mobile Park

Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Kansas City Royals at Seattle Mariners at T-Mobile Park on 2026-05-01. Predicted final score: Kansas City Royals 4.18, Seattle Mariners 4.12. Model win probability: Seattle Mariners 51%, Kansas City Royals 49%. Projected total runs: 8.31.

Kansas City Royals
4.2
Predicted runs
49% to win
Seattle Mariners
4.1
Predicted runs
51% to win
Projected total: 8.3 runs

Tonight's Edges

Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.