Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Kansas City Royals @ New York Mets
2026-07-07 · Citi Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Kansas City Royals at New York Mets at Citi Field on 2026-07-07. Predicted final score: Kansas City Royals 5.05, New York Mets 4.25. Model win probability: New York Mets 43%, Kansas City Royals 57%. Projected total runs: 9.31.
Kansas City Royals
5.0
Predicted runs
57% to win
New York Mets
4.3
Predicted runs
43% to win
Projected total: 9.3 runs
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